This study, in which geological evidence was used to approximate water resource availability between 0 A.D. and 2005 A.D., provides compelling data suggesting that increased rates of human population growth directly brought about water scarcity, both in individual regions and on the Earth as a whole.
The
authors of this paper label increased trade, irrigation, and reservoir
capacity as key culprits of global water shortages. Despite the purpose
of these items being that of more efficiently utilizing limited water
resources, all three inhibit the natural movements of water. Trade,
especially of water or products containing water, such as produce, is
essentially the transferring of water from one region to another,
regardless of whether or not the receiving region is experiencing a
shortage of water. Irrigation delivers water to regions where it is
otherwise scarce, but, in doing so, removes water from other regions,
thereby making the source regions themselves more susceptible to water
shortages. This irrigated water is then ‘packaged’ in the form of
produce and shipped abroad, further displacing water supplies.
Reservoirs, whether for recreation, power generation, drinking, or
irrigation, cripple the natural flow of rivers, causing widespread water
shortages downstream, in addition to further propagating the
aforementioned water displacement by irrigation and subsequent trade.
A
personal theory of mine, though, I admit, I have no scientific data
with which to back it, is that at least a small portion of the world’s
water scarcity is caused by pipes and other plumbing. The real question
is: just how much water is trapped inside of metal pipes at any given
time? These pipes, over a large enough scale, act as a giant water
tower, storing water for later use. When applied to the entire world,
it seems that a fairly significant amount of water is effectively
isolated from the elementary water cycle at any given time. This water
cannot be consumed, does not contribute to lakes and other bodies of
water, and may even be responsible for ever-worsening global drought
conditions, as any water trapped in pipes would not be permitted to
evaporate or otherwise humidify the air. This ‘phantom water supply’
could easily be linked to water shortages attributed to population
growth in this paper; indeed, it is clearly shown that available water
resources did not drop drastically until very recently, particularly the
1900s, coinciding with the majority of global urbanization; about 2% of
world suffered from water shortage before 1900, when that amount jumped
to 9% and has since reached 35% in 2005 (Kummu). The Earth hasn’t lost
any of its water since then, and sea levels haven’t risen substantially
in that time, so where else could the water have gone?
On
another note, the human body is mostly water and as human populations
increase, even more water is removed from circulation at any given time,
this being merely a thought and by no means an argumentative statement.
And don’t even get me started on bottled water! Regardless, the point
is that water scarcity, brought upon by dislocation, is a major problem
associated with population growth and the current format of widespread
human civilization. If the issue is not soon resolved, it may become
necessary to cut down human populations and concentrate them in “island
civilizations” (Nash), where water supplies can be carefully regulated,
recycled, and otherwise sustained.
Coleridge, Samuel Taylor. “The Rime Of The Ancient Mariner.” Poetry X. Ed. Jough Dempsey. 7 Jul 2003. 22 Aug. 2012 <http://poetry.poetryx.com/poems/624/>.
Kummu,
Matti, Philip J. Ward, Hans De Moel, and Olli Varis. "Is Physical Water
Scarcity a New Phenomenon? Global Assessment of Water Shortage over the
Last Two Millennia." Environmental Research Letters 5.3 (2010): n. pag. IOPscience. 16 Aug. 2010. Web. 22 Aug. 2012. <http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/5/3/034006/fulltext/>.
Nash, Roderick Frazier. “Island Civilization: A Vision for Human Occupancy of Earth in the Fourth Millenium.” Environmental History. Published: 15 July 2010. 371-380.
Below is a column I clipped from the Technician today that further explains the importance of water in civilization, and the problems that come with its ever-increasing scarcity. I apologize for the somewhat awkward appearance of this huge picture shooting out of this blog post, but it was the only way to make the clipping legible.
Your post is really interesting. I never knew there was a shortage in water, and you have a lot of evidence to prove it is. Your theory about the pipes having a lot to do with the scarcity sounds about right, too. Also, I like how you included the article.
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